Nottingham Forest Wvs
Watford W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nottingham Forest W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nottingham Forest W 2-2 Watford W
Original prediction
Nottingham Forest W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.0% | 42.5% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.1% | 28.3% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 17.9% | 29.2% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Nottingham Forest W
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Nottingham Forest W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60