Nottingham Forest Wvs
Burnley W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nottingham Forest W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nottingham Forest W 2-0 Burnley W
Original prediction
Nottingham Forest W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.1% | 45.9% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 27.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.1% | 26.5% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Nottingham Forest W
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Nottingham Forest W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.25/1.25