GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nottingham Forest are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nottingham ForestWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ferencvarosi TCLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Nottingham ForestFerencvarosi TC
50.0Attack61.1
66.7Defence72.2
56.3Form77.8
57.9Power72.4
1.11xG1.08
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