Nottingham Forestvs
Ferencvarosi TC
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nottingham Forest are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60