GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nottingham Forest are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nottingham ForestLWDLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nottingham ForestFenerbahçe
50.0Attack47.2
66.7Defence55.6
56.3Form47.2
57.9Power51.6
1.46xG0.85
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