GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nottingham Forest are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Porto are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nottingham ForestDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC PortoWDDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nottingham ForestFC Porto
50.0Attack53.3
66.7Defence50.0
56.3Form40.0
57.9Power49.6
1.66xG0.95
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