GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nottingham Forest are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nottingham ForestDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC MidtjyllandDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nottingham ForestFC Midtjylland
50.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence50.0
56.3Form0.0
57.9Power21.5
1.76xG0.73
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