Nottingham ForestvsAston Villa

Nottingham Forest are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.