Nottingham Forest U21vs
Burnley U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nottingham Forest U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nottingham Forest U21 1-0 Burnley U21
Original prediction
Nottingham Forest U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.0% | 65.8% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.2% | 17.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 20.8% | 16.5% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Nottingham Forest U21
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Nottingham Forest U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20