Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Notodden are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SF Grei are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 23 · GA 11 · avg 4.60/2.20