GGOALVIO

Norway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 4/10/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Notodden are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ørn Horten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Notodden

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NotoddenWWLWW

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Ørn HortenLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NotoddenØrn Horten
52.6Attack52.6
51.3Defence48.7
50.0Form42.3
51.5Power47.0
1.79xG1.40
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