Notoddenvs
Pors Grenland
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Notodden 3-4 Pors Grenland
Original prediction
Notodden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.3% | 54.4% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 24.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.6% | 21.3% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20