GGOALVIO

Norway · NM Cupen · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ODD Ballklubb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Notodden 2-3 ODD Ballklubb

Original prediction

ODD Ballklubb

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1222.2%35.1%12.9 pts
Draw3.9123.4%26.1%2.7 pts
Away1.6854.4%38.8%-15.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

ODD Ballklubb

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

ODD Ballklubb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NotoddenDWDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ODD BallklubbLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NotoddenODD Ballklubb
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.89xG1.61
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