Notoddenvs
Lysekloster
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Notodden 3-0 Lysekloster
Original prediction
Notodden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.9% | 50.0% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 18.0% | 20.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 7.49 | 12.1% | 29.7% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40