Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Notodden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lørenskog are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80