Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Notodden are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while jerv are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
9.6%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20