Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Notodden are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Flekkerøy are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80