Notoddenvs
Eik-Tønsberg
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Notodden 1-3 Eik-Tønsberg
Original prediction
Notodden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 69.1% | 55.0% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.4% | 23.2% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 7.34 | 12.5% | 21.8% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00