Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Notodden are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brattvåg are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
11.5%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40