GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/3/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Swarzędz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Noteć Czarnków are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (DLDD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Unia Swarzędz are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Swarzędz hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Unia Swarzędz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Swarzędz

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Unia Swarzędz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Noteć CzarnkówDLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Unia SwarzędzLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 2.33/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Noteć CzarnkówUnia Swarzędz
59.8Attack56.9
37.3Defence53.9
44.1Form53.9
46.4Power56.1
1.74xG2.02
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