GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Noteć Czarnków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Noteć Czarnków are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Elana Toruń are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and elana Toruń hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 2, favouring Noteć Czarnków with 12.1% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Noteć Czarnków

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

12.1%

Noteć Czarnków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Noteć CzarnkówWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Elana ToruńDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Noteć CzarnkówElana Toruń
59.8Attack43.1
37.3Defence58.8
44.1Form46.1
46.4Power50.6
1.58xG1.51
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