Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Notch 4-0 PVV
Original prediction
Notch
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 13:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Notch
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Notch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NotchDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PVVLLDDD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NotchPVV
0.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power7.0
1.76xG1.16