GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/2/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nosta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nosta are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nosta hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Cup, while Nosta holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nosta

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Nosta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NostaDWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 2.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Uralets Nizhnyi TagilDDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.33/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
NostaUralets Nizhnyi Tagil
100.0Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.63xG1.09
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