Nostavs
Rubin Kazan 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin Kazan 2 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nosta 2-1 Rubin Kazan 2
Original prediction
Rubin Kazan 2
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.3% | 32.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 28.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.1% | 39.3% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Rubin Kazan 2
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Rubin Kazan 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00