GGOALVIO

Nosta logoNostavsOrenburg II logoOrenburg II

COMPLETED

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/13/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Nosta are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orenburg II are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NostaDDDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Orenburg IIDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
NostaOrenburg II
26.7Attack46.7
25.0Defence46.7
23.3Form38.3
28.6Power45.1
0.88xG2.00
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