Nostavs
FK Sokol Saratov
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Sokol Saratov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nosta 1-1 FK Sokol Saratov
Original prediction
FK Sokol Saratov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.70 | 19.3% | 32.6% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 27.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.6% | 39.5% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FK Sokol Saratov
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
FK Sokol Saratov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20