GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nosta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Nosta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FK Sokol Saratov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Sokol Saratov hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Cup, while Nosta holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nosta

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

13.0%

Nosta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NostaWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK Sokol SaratovWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NostaFK Sokol Saratov
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.46xG1.38
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