Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nosaby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Nosaby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Torns are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and nosaby hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, favouring Nosaby with 8.7% confidence, a 74% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nosaby
Probability
74.1%
Model confidence
8.7%
Nosaby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20