Nosabyvs
Staffanstorp United
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nosaby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nosaby 3-0 Staffanstorp United
Original prediction
Nosaby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.4% | 53.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 20.2% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.2% | 26.0% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Nosaby
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Nosaby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40