Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nosaby 4-0 Linero
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
22.8%
Model confidence
8.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NosabyLDLWD
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LineroLWDLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NosabyLinero
62.2Attack58.3
42.2Defence47.9
51.1Form52.1
51.5Power53.4
2.12xG1.89