Norwich City U21vs
West Ham United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norwich City U21 4-2 West Ham United U21
Original prediction
Norwich City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.8% | 42.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 24.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.4% | 32.9% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Norwich City U21
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Norwich City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60