Norwich City U21vs
Stoke City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norwich City U21 0-0 Stoke City U21
Original prediction
Norwich City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.5% | 43.1% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.0% | 26.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.5% | 30.2% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Norwich City U21
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Norwich City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40