Norwich City U21vs
Bristol City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norwich City U21 1-1 Bristol City U21
Original prediction
Norwich City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.0% | 47.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.4% | 23.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.6% | 29.1% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Norwich City U21
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Norwich City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60