Norwich City U21vs
Birmingham City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norwich City U21 4-2 Birmingham City U21
Original prediction
Norwich City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.4% | 73.1% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.0% | 13.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 19.6% | 13.7% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Norwich City U21
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
73.1%
Norwich City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00