World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norway W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norway W 6-0 Romania W
Original prediction
Norway W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 91.6% | 50.9% | -40.7 pts |
| Draw | 13.71 | 6.9% | 23.6% | 16.7 pts |
| Away | 61.00 | 1.5% | 25.5% | 23.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Norway W
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Norway W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40