Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norway · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 02:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Norway
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Norway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NorwayLLLWD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
WalesLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NorwayWales
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence58.3
25.0Form25.0
39.1Power36.6
1.36xG1.12