World Cup
Norway
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Norway leads with 57% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Norway head into this in World Cup fixture at MetLife Stadium in strong form (LWWLW), while Senegal arrive struggling for consistency (LWLLW). Norway have a 67% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 40% for Senegal over 5 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Norway (78/100) and Senegal (79/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
Norway have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game at home. Senegal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 4 away matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
Norway have generated 1.32 xG per game recently while conceding 1.48 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches. Senegal have generated 2.11 xG per game recently while conceding 1.49 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches.
Norway have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Norway to win with 72% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 3-0. Win probabilities: Norway 5650%, Draw 2060%, Senegal 2290%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Norway
Senegal
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norway vs Senegal?
GoalVio's model predicts Norway to win with 72% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs Senegal?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 3-0.
Will both teams score in Norway vs Senegal?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Norway vs Senegal?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.