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England leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Norway head into this in World Cup fixture at Hard Rock Stadium in strong form (LWWLW), while England arrive in outstanding form (WLWWW). Norway have a 67% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 75% for England over 8 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Norway (78/100) and England (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
Norway have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game at home. England have been excellent on the road, winning all 3 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
Norway have generated 1.32 xG per game recently while conceding 1.48 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches. England have generated 1.56 xG per game recently while conceding 1.13 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.
England have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects England to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-3. Win probabilities: Norway 2493%, Draw 2145%, England 5362%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Norway
England
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norway vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts England to win with 54% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs England?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-3.
Will both teams score in Norway vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Norway vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.