Norway U21vs
Israel U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norway U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Norway U21 1-1 Israel U21
Original prediction
Norway U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.6% | 64.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.0% | 20.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.3% | 15.7% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Norway U21
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Norway U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20