Norway U21vs
Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norway U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Norway U21 2-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Norway U21 6-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
Original prediction
Norway U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.7% | 70.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.50 | 16.6% | 18.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 10.36 | 8.8% | 11.5% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Projected Score
Norway U21 2–0 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Norway U21
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
70.1%
Norway U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20