Northern Tigersvs
St. George Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 9/5/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northern Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Northern Tigers 0-0 St. George Saints
Original prediction
Northern Tigers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 48.2% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 25.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.4% | 26.0% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Northern Tigers
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Northern Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00