GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 8.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

7.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 41 · GA 7 · avg 8.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Ulverstone U21WWWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Northern RangersUlverstone U21
100.0Attack83.3
59.3Defence42.6
94.4Form61.1
80.0Power60.4
4.11xG1.89
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