GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/2/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

71.5%

Model confidence

7.6%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 28 · GA 8 · avg 5.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ulverstone U21WDWWL

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersUlverstone U21
100.0Attack84.3
59.3Defence39.2
94.4Form58.8
80.0Power58.8
4.38xG1.90
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