GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/24/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 5.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersDWWWW

GF 26 · GA 3 · avg 5.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
UlverstoneWWWLW

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersUlverstone
100.0Attack98.4
59.3Defence38.1
94.4Form65.1
80.0Power63.4
4.40xG2.21
View match centre →