GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/20/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 3.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ulverstone are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.75/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
UlverstoneWWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Northern RangersUlverstone
100.0Attack98.4
59.3Defence38.1
94.4Form65.1
80.0Power63.4
4.40xG2.21
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