GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Northern Rangers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 5.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

8.8%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWLWWW

GF 26 · GA 5 · avg 5.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetDWWLL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Northern RangersSomerset
100.0Attack74.1
59.3Defence9.3
94.4Form42.6
80.0Power39.4
4.50xG1.59
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