Northern Rangersvs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/2/2025, 4:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Northern Rangers
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
76.3%
Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40