GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/31/2025, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

76.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWDDW

GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetLLLWW

GF 14 · GA 19 · avg 2.80/3.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Northern RangersSomerset
100.0Attack74.1
59.3Defence9.3
94.4Form42.6
80.0Power39.4
4.50xG1.59
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