GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/17/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 6.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Somerset are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

76.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 30 · GA 1 · avg 6.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetWWWWW

GF 27 · GA 4 · avg 5.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersSomerset
100.0Attack74.1
59.3Defence9.3
94.4Form42.6
80.0Power39.4
4.50xG1.59
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