GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 56.5-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

86.4%

Model confidence

86.4%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 3.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Riverside Olympic U21LL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.50/5.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Northern RangersRiverside Olympic U21
100.0Attack46.3
59.3Defence0.0
94.4Form27.8
80.0Power23.4
4.50xG0.97
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