GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/10/2025, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 64.2-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

90.8%

Model confidence

90.8%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Launceston United U21LDLWL

GF 12 · GA 24 · avg 2.40/4.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersLaunceston United U21
100.0Attack28.1
59.3Defence0.0
94.4Form14.0
80.0Power15.8
4.50xG0.67
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