GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/3/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Northern Rangers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 6.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

82.7%

Model confidence

82.7%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWWWD

GF 31 · GA 5 · avg 6.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21WLLWD

GF 12 · GA 17 · avg 2.40/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersLaunceston U21
100.0Attack55.6
59.3Defence33.3
94.4Form44.4
80.0Power44.0
4.50xG1.20
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